TIFA: Only 19 percent would vote YES for the BBI

Only one-third of the Kenyan population is in support of Constitutional amendments before the upcoming 2022 general elections. This is according to a recent survey by TIFA research firm in the period between June 24th and June 28th, 2021.

According to the findings from the survey, 31 % of Kenyans would vote NO in the event of a plebiscite on the BBI amendments while 19 % would vote YES. 18% of Kenyans would not vote at all while 25% are still undecided. The survey further depicts that 7 % chose not to comment on the BBI referendum.

Increased revenue allocation to the counties and the creation of the Ward Development Fund were the most cited reasons among those who were in support of the constitutional changes. The increase in revenue allocation was cited by 27% of those who would vote YES while the Ward Development Fund was cited by 11% of the same bracket. The creation of new parliamentary constituencies and the positions of the Prime Minister and those of the Deputy Prime Ministers were also cited as reasons for supporting the BBI.

On the other hand, those against constitutional amendments cited among other reasons the increased budgetary allocation to the counties, the creation of new executive posts as well as the use of public resources in promoting the BBI as reasons for opposing the bill.

Further findings from the TIFA depict that a majority of Kenyans, 43%, believe that the main motive behind the BBI proposals was an effort by certain politicians to influence the outcome of the 2022 elections. 25 % of Kenyans believe that it is an attempt by both the citizens and politicians to solve the situation in the country whereas another 15 % were of the view that the BBI was an effort by the citizens to make the Constitution more effective. 

In matters of knowledge of BBI contents by the general public, the research body propounds that 47 % of Kenyans still lack knowledge on what the bill entails.  16 % of Kenyans, according to TIFA, know only a little whilst only 6% know a great deal. 

The survey further details that only 34% were in support of a referendum before the 2022 general elections this year as compared to a 42 % last year. Those against a referendum before the elections amounted to 50 % this year with Central and North Eastern regions leading as the regions with the least positivity rate of such an event before August next year.

TIFA asserted that the recent invalidation of the BBI process by a five-judge bench in May over u constitutionality accounts was a leading factor as to why people believe that a referendum before August 2020 is a tall order.

According to the research firm, the ongoing appeal by the BBI proponents in the Court of Appeal would have less impact on the figures released in June. This comes at a time when the BBI secretariat has been under pressure to deliver a referendum and the subsequent constitutional changes before the August 2022 polls.

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